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Gasoline Prices Thru January 3

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 16:37
Since the core CPI (chained) is about 11% higher than in June 2021, that means the relative price of gasoline is 11% lower than then.

Recession Watch: Slightly Lower Interest Rates Will Make Zero Difference

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 16:27
Consumers are tapped out and real estate is frozen.

AgMaster Report - Wednesday, Jan. 3

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 16:15
March Corn broke through the 470 support level yesterday – in sympathy with a plummeting bean market which was pressured by Brazilian rain.

How The December Fed Minutes Influenced Rate Cut Odds For 2024

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 16:02
The Fed minutes of the December 12–13, 2023 FOMC meeting were released today. Would you believe 6 rate cuts in 2024?

Wall Street's 2024 Losses Accelerate Following Fed Minutes

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 15:51
Stocks finished the latest trading day of the year with their second consecutive day of losses.

ISM Manufacturing Index Remains In Contraction

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 15:40
The ISM manufacturing index, where any value below 50 indicates contraction, once again came in negative for both the total index, at 47.4, and the more leading new orders subindex, at 47.1.

Navigating The Turbulent Waters Of Oil Drops

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 15:28
​​​​​​​In the dynamic world of oil markets, recent developments have sent shockwaves throughout the industry.

Newcomb's Paradox And The Banality Of Success

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 15:14
In order to have a successful monetary policy, it is necessary to understand what success looks like.

Exxon Stock Downgraded Ahead Of Earnings

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 15:00
Exxon stock is currently down nearly 15% versus its 52-week high.

A Breather Or A Hangover?

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 14:30
When markets rally, the underlying assumption is that they’re doing what they’re supposed to do. When markets sink, the questions typically have a “what’s wrong” tone. 

An Insight Into Russia’s View On Gold

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 14:00
Over the past 20 years, gold mining in Russia has almost doubled, while in the United States has almost decreased by half.

S&P 500: Chart Analysis

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 13:48
Technical analysis of the stock chart for the S&P 500.

2024 Starts Rough

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 13:36
Assets bid up by irrational amounts eventually end up on clearance sale. Always.

Foreign Term Spread Augmented Recession Model Prediction

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 13:24
The US and Foreign 10yr-3mo inversion remain deep (although not as deep as in March)

Are Materials Stocks Too Cyclical To Invest In?

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 13:12
An analysis of materials stocks.

EUR/USD Dips Amid Strong U.S. Data As Market Awaits Fed Minutes

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 13:00
Market anticipates potential policy easing in Fed's December FOMC minutes; six rate cuts priced in by futures data.

ISM Manufacturing Production Turns Positive But New Orders Down 16th Month

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 12:47
The ISM index is down 14 straight months, new orders down for 16 straight months, but production ticked into positive territory in December.

Are Small Cap Investors Getting Greedy At Important Resistance?

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 12:34
​​​​​​​Small-caps stocks have been a noticeable laggard for over two years.

Bitcoin Price Drops Over $4000, Hours After Jim Cramer Says It’ll Live Forever, But Why?

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 12:21
Today, Bitcoin's price dropped by over $4000 in the space of just a few hours.

New Year, Same Old Labor Market Deceleration

Wed, 01/03/2024 - 12:09
This morning’s JOLTS report for November continued the same trend of labor market deceleration that we have seen since the blazing hot boom of 2021.

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