Scott MartindaleA relentlessly strong September is making the market quite overbought from a technical standpoint. So much for September being historically the worst month of the year for stocks. But it now appears to be at a crossroads. And Sabrient's quantitative SectorCast rankings are even more defensive this week.

Scott Martindale Bulls put up a valiant offensive in the last 20 minutes of trading on Tuesday to push the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJX) back above the 10,000 level as the month of August came to a close. For the last six days of August, bears either succeeded or gamely tried to penetrate this psychologically important level intraday only to be repelled by the bulls.

Scott MartindaleLast week provided the start of another leg down in what has been an unpredictable stock market, and the market now appears to be in the midst of forming another bear flag. Since rolling over and selling off strongly in late April, the market has demonstrated all sorts of conflicting formations that have confounded trend traders and investors.

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Scott MartindaleAs I pointed out back in June, cash on hand among S&P 500 companies has been at record levels, and up 25% over the same time last year. One would presume that such cash levels would eventually be used for share buybacks, M&A, or dividend increases – all of which would impact the market favorably.

Scott MartindaleThe market found pleasure in manure today. When Australian miner BHP Billiton (BHP) proposed to acquire Canadian fertilizer maker Potash (POT), the market saw this as an opportunity to soar. Perhaps traders took it as a sign that corporate cash is ready to be deployed…or perhaps it was simply a low-volume oversold bounce on the flimsiest of catalysts.

Scott MartindaleWe have all heard the experts recommend "hedging" your stock portfolio. You may have meticulously researched and selected all of your portfolio longs as your core holdings for long-term appreciation.

Scott MartindaleThe SPY sold off early today in advance of the FOMC decision, but bounced strongly from the support line of the bearish rising wedge formation, which also is quite close to its 200-day moving average. Just as I said last week, all market indexes appear a bit extended and ready to pullback, but the bulls are game. Put/call ratio and volume is low.

Scott MartindaleThe SPY finished the month of July up a robust +7%, and then started the first day of August by tacking on another +2% gain. All market indexes appeared a bit stretched from the mean and ready to pullback today, but the bulls fought on mightily to keep the day’s loss minor.

The market continues to look strong and resilient. Whether the news, economic reports, and earnings announcements are bad or good, the market has been absorbing the blows or chasing the momentum like a champion. Now it is struggling with various resistance levels from moving averages and chart formations, but continuing to hold up in this low-trading-volume environment.

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