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What the Market Wants: Jackson Hole Won't be the Right Time and Place
What the Market Wants
All the right people will be at Jackson Hole late this week conversing about economic stimuli. Chairman Bernanke will speak Friday, and Mr. Draghi will be on a panel Saturday morning. But if I were a betting man, and I am, I would bet against any major announcements at the conference. Most feel that Bernanke will await the various economic releases in September before making a final decision, and Mr. Draghi will likely return to Europe and cogitate with his European counterparts before reaching a decision. This week, rumors about capping the sovereign rates with some assistance from the ECB have been circulating. But as we all know by now, rumor and action are two very different animals.
After eight weeks of showing patience and very slowly accumulating bargain stocks, the market decided enough was enough and sold-off about -0.50% (S&P 500), and even more if your lens has been limited to small caps.
The economic news was decent most of the week, particularly Durable Goods last Friday and New Home Sales last Thursday. This week will be busier with Consumer Confidence tomorrow; Second Quarter GDP (first revision) is on Wednesday; Initial Jobless Claims and Personal Income are both on Thursday. The week ends with Chicago PMI, Michigan Sentiment, and Factory Orders on Friday. There should be a lot for the folks at Jackson Hole to think about.
As for sectors, Financials, Healthcare, and Technology look like the best bets. However, Financials could still have skeletons hidden in the closet; it’s probably safer to stick with Healthcare and Technology.
It’s likely going to be an even slower week for the market as the summer winds down ahead of Labor Day weekend.
4 Stock Ideas for this Market
This week, I used the Insider Buying preset search in MyStockFinder. Here are four you may find interesting:
United Continental Holdings, Inc. (UAL)—Industrials
Symantec Corporation (SYMC) — Technology
Chemtura Corporation (CHMT)—Basic Materials
Texas Industries, Inc. (TXI)—Basic Materials