Trade policy is shifting from liberalized principles toward an era of tariffs and transactional deals. Businesses must prioritize political intelligence and supply chain resilience to navigate these long-term protectionist trends.

French inflation rebounded to 1.0% in February as energy-related base effects shifted, though broad price pressures remain moderate. With the labor market cooling and GDP growth slowing, inflation is expected to stay contained below 1.5%.

Interest rate differentials drive volatility as Bitcoin (BTC/USD) tests the critical $60,000 support level. USD/JPY eyes a historic breakout above 160.00 while the Nasdaq 100 shows resilience despite pressure on major tech names.

Rising geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty (EPU) are stalling employment and manufacturing growth. With EPU levels now double those seen before the 2003 Iraq war, the current ICT-led expansion faces significant headwinds.

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WTI crude oil prices are surging as conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran threatens supply via the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts warn prices could hit $100, while technical indicators signal an immediate $80 target.

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