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Financial Markets Report For Thursday, Mar 12

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 20:40
Financial markets rebounded slightly after high oil prices and rising Treasury yields triggered a significant downturn. Investors remain cautious amid geopolitical tensions in Iran and anticipation of critical GDP and PCE inflation reports.

Our Calculation Of Intrinsic Value: Caterpillar Inc.

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 20:19
A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis of Caterpillar Inc. estimates its intrinsic value at approximately $182 per share, suggesting the stock is currently trading at a significant premium with a negative margin of safety.

Turkish Current Account Deficit Jumps After Methodological Revision

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 19:46
Turkey’s current account deficit hit $6.8 billion in January, exceeding forecasts following methodological revisions. Record capital inflows reached $20 billion, yet rising energy costs and a widening trade gap signal continued pressure.

The Interest Rate Few Americans Know About

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 19:40
The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) has eclipsed the Federal Funds rate as the financial system's true benchmark. Anchoring $200 trillion in contracts, SOFR dictates global borrowing costs and the price of essential market leverage.

The Private Credit Crisis That's About To Crush Tech

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 19:20
Private credit funds are locking redemptions as Deutsche Bank hits new lows, signaling a liquidity crisis for the AI sector. This credit crunch threatens to halt data center expansion and hammer tech stocks reliant on debt financing.

Scarcity Is Winning

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 19:00
Scarce sectors like energy and utilities are crushing abundant industries like technology, delivering 12.31% year-to-date gains compared to just 3.55%. Investors are favoring supply-constrained businesses over easily scalable ones.

US Stocks Close Deep In Red, Dow Tumbles 739 Points On War Jitters

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 18:40
The Dow plunged 739 points as US-Iran conflict fears drove oil toward $100, hammering tech stocks. While energy giants ExxonMobil and Chevron bucked the trend, markets now look to the Fed as inflation risks mount.

Monthly Dividend Stock In Focus: Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 18:20
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. is a monthly dividend stock with a high yield.

What's Up With The Treasury Market? Why Is Gold The Last Safe-Haven Standing?

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 18:16
Falling demand for dollar assets signals a shift as central banks favor gold to hedge against fiscal instability.

Adobe Plunges To 7 Year Low On CEO Resignation, Muted Forecast

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 18:10
Despite beating quarterly estimates, a cautious forecast fueled investor concerns that the software giant is losing its edge in the AI era.

Gold, Oil & The VIX: Is This Market About To Break?

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 18:06
Rising Treasury yields and stagflation risks now dominate the macro outlook as investors eye gold support levels.

Sellers Add Pressure To S&P And Equal Weighted S&P In Particular

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 17:59
Distribution sell-offs are driving the S&P 500 and Dow toward their 200-day moving averages.

S&P 500 Breaks Key Support As Systematic Flows May Be Nearing An Inflection Point

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 17:51
The S&P 500 fell below 6,700 support, signaling a potential shift in systematic flows toward short positions.

Nio Stock Flashes Bullish Signals After Years Of Pain – Here’s Why

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 17:27
Nio stock is up 19% this week, reclaiming key moving averages with bullish chart signals and a $8 price target for 2026.

Market Talk – Thursday, March 12

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 17:23
Global equity markets faced a broad selloff on Thursday as the Nasdaq tumbled 1.78% and the Dow dropped over 700 points. Despite the sharp decline in stocks, crude oil prices surged nearly 9% to $95.04 per barrel.

Consumer Lenders Are Breaking Down

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 17:07
Consumer finance stocks are hitting new lows as high energy prices squeeze borrowers and fuel default risks.

Rates Spark: The Problem Children Get More Cranky

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 17:03
Higher U.S. break-even inflation rates and higher U.S. swap spreads intensified today and could continue as long as war angst remains elevated.

Lucid Stock Offers Three Big Reasons To Warrant A Long-Term Investment

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 16:56
Lucid is pivoting to the mass market with a new sub-$50,000 SUV platform and its efficient Atlas drive unit.

Hard Assets Matter When Geopolitics And Markets Turn Chaotic

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 16:34
With central banks stockpiling gold and new interest in farmland, these real assets offer critical diversification for portfolios.

Stocks And Precious Metals Charts - Building Tension

Thu, 03/12/2026 - 16:31
Stocks closed at session lows as a rising VIX signals building market tension.

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