Market At Risk Of Correcting In A 'Risk-Off' Reset?
Stocks have been stuck in a compressing trading range for the past several months.
Import Trends: Output, Policy Uncertainty, And/Or Tariffs
The slowing of the economy (as measured by domestic final sales) and the increase in the contemporaneous tariff rate have roughly equal coefficients.
Doing Well By Doing Good: Dump Your American Stocks
There has been much discussion, both here and around the world, of the possibility of a flight from the dollar. This has always been a serious risk since Donald Trump took office.
Picturing Threats To The US Stock Market & Economy
An illustrated guide to things that should make you uneasy.
The Division Of Labor
We discuss why the modern discussion of the division of labor is distorted by bad theory and political incentives.
Verizon's Results Command A Premium
Verizon issued strong Q4 results and strong guidance for 2026. We continue to recommend investment in the telecom giant for income.
What Kevin Warsh’s Fed Nomination Could Mean For Stocks, Crypto, And Risk Assets
For years, equity markets have leaned on the “Fed Put” – the belief that the central bank would reliably inject liquidity at the first sign of trouble. Warsh, however, is a vocal critic of the Fed’s tendency to “pamper” markets.
