The Business Cycle & The Markets

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 15:16
The increase in financial liquidity after the pandemic has weakened the traditional correlation between economic indicators and the business cycle.

Another Fed Cut, But There Is Growing Dissent

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 15:14
Looking at the forecasts, there is clearly a hawkish tilt. While two members voted for no change today, six members felt the "appropriate" rate should be 3.875% – not the 3.625% central range we are now at.

FX Today: Australian, U.S. Jobs Report Take Centre Stage

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 15:03
The US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed two daily gains in a row and collapsed to multi-week lows in the 98.60-98.50 band amid declining yields following the FOMC event on Wednesday.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Soars 580 Points On Third Straight Fed Rate Cut

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 14:58
The Dow Jones climbed over 1.2% on Wednesday after the Fed delivered a third straight rate cut.

Fed Watch: Recalibrating The “Recalibration”

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 14:56
With a third consecutive rate cut bringing the Fed Funds range to 3.50%–3.75%, the Fed may pause for now as it reassesses the effectiveness of its “risk management” approach amid mixed economic signals.

Unusual Call Options Volume In GameStop Corp. Stock - Should Investors Buy GME Stock?

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 14:53
GameStop Corp reported excellent results yesterday for its fiscal Q2 ended Nov. 1. Today, there is a huge, unusual call options trading in GME.

When Silver Runs Hot And Platinum Smells Opportunity

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 14:44
While stocks are taking a breather at high levels, the Silver market is impressively demonstrating how much energy it still has.

Is GE Aerospace Forming A Top?

TalkMarkets - Wed, 12/10/2025 - 14:39
The technical picture for GE Aerospace is at a pivotal point. The evidence leans towards a topping pattern and a potential shorting opportunity, but confirmation is everything.

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