Import Trends: Output, Policy Uncertainty, And/Or Tariffs

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 21:49
The slowing of the economy (as measured by domestic final sales) and the increase in the contemporaneous tariff rate have roughly equal coefficients.

Doing Well By Doing Good: Dump Your American Stocks

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 21:00
There has been much discussion, both here and around the world, of the possibility of a flight from the dollar. This has always been a serious risk since Donald Trump took office.

Picturing Threats To The US Stock Market & Economy

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 20:15
An illustrated guide to things that should make you uneasy.

The Division Of Labor

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 19:30
We discuss why the modern discussion of the division of labor is distorted by bad theory and political incentives.

Verizon's Results Command A Premium

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 18:47
Verizon issued strong Q4 results and strong guidance for 2026. We continue to recommend investment in the telecom giant for income.

What Kevin Warsh’s Fed Nomination Could Mean For Stocks, Crypto, And Risk Assets

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 18:05
For years, equity markets have leaned on the “Fed Put” – the belief that the central bank would reliably inject liquidity at the first sign of trouble. Warsh, however, is a vocal critic of the Fed’s tendency to “pamper” markets.

S&P 500 To Defy Hot PPI While Metals Tank?

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 16:42
2026 will be a bullish year, but not as rich as last one or the one before.

Economically Weighted Regional Fed Indexes For January Suggest Continued Stagflationary Pressures

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 16:07
With one exception, the trends in December continued in January. Headline business conditions continued to indicate contraction, but at a decelerating rate.

China To Bet On Services To Make Consumers Spend Again, Will It Be Enough?

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 15:35
The move underscores Beijing’s growing recognition that traditional stimulus tools are proving less effective in lifting consumer spending.

Cenovus Vs. Enbridge: Is It Time To Step Away From Both Stocks?

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 15:05
Over the past year, Cenovus Energy has rallied 40.9%, significantly outperforming Enbridge’s 13.9% gain. But does stronger price performance automatically make Cenovus the better stock? Here's a look at the fundamentals of both companies to find out.

Accessing & Harnessing Sophisticated Strategies

TalkMarkets - Sat, 01/31/2026 - 14:40
The excitement over providing retail access to private equity seems to have turned sour with more skepticism. As the aforementioned excitement built, we talked frequently about not getting wrapped up with illiquid vehicles offering private equity.

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