Market Talk - Friday, Dec. 12
The oil markets had a negative day today.
A.I. Fear Escalates And Begins To Spread
The S&P 500 dropped 100 points today while the advance-decline line sat at 50-50. That combination should not be possible.
Dow Snags 3rd-Straight Weekly Win Despite Sour Session
Today saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq finish lower for both the day and week, with the latter dropping 398 points for the session, as investors rotated out of Big Tech.
Fed Delivers – Markets Too – Rally Broadens
The lay of the land for the indices is solid. The rally has broadened significantly as evidenced by leadership in the S&P 400 mid caps and Russell 2000 small caps.
Employment, Heavy Truck Sales And Cautionary Notes
While official nonfarm payroll employment has grown a healthy 600K from January to September, the implied benchmark revision has only grown 400K over the corresponding period.
The Gold/Silver Bull Market, In Seven Charts
Silver has been outperforming gold, and the gold/silver ratio is falling hard. But it remains above past averages, which means it’s still undervalued, both on its own and relative to gold.
S&P 500 Earnings Dashboard 25Q3 - Friday, Dec. 12
25Q3 Y/Y earnings are expected to be 15.0%. Excluding the energy sector, the Y/Y earnings estimate is 15.8%.
Did The Sec Chair Just Admit That Tokenization Is Inevitable?
Tokenization is becoming part of the core financial system. And as more institutions test digital settlement, tokenization becomes harder to dismiss.
Gold Remains Bid As Lack Of Fed Clarity And Geopolitical Frictions Persist
XAU/USD retreats from a seven-week $4,353 peak as traders lock in profits after a strong weekly rally.
Intel Corporation Stock: Eyes SambaNova Deal To Accelerate AI Expansion
Intel explores a SambaNova acquisition to expand its AI hardware footprint and accelerate its push into enterprise-focused AI solutions.
SLV ETF Stock Analysis As Silver Prices Momenttum Gains Steam
Supply tightness and heightened industrial and investment demand are bolstering silver prices.
Oracle Is Now The AI Bellwether -- And That's Not Good
Oracle stands as the starkest cautionary tale: aggressive capex without matching cash flows risks a sector-wide crunch if AI hype falters.
The Fed Is Doing This… Whether We Like It Or Not
The U.S. is adding $1 trillion in new debt every 100 days. The Fed can either induce a melt-up via inflation… or let the bond bubble burst, triggering a crisis.
2025 – A Record-breaking Year Comes To An End, What’s Next?
The year 2025 will be remembered as the best year in the history of the European ETF industry so far.
Rug Pull After Record Close
The S&P 500 was able to achieve a fresh all-time closing high yesterday thanks to a powerful move from tech stocks into more cyclical and rate-sensitive sectors.
Stock Analysis: Koc Holding
Koc Holding AS provides a conglomeration of industrial services.
Why the Oracle Stock Plunge Doesn’t Signal An AI Bubble Pop, Yet
Despite a significant revenue miss and a 10% stock decline, Oracle’s fundamentals are stronger than ever when taking into account Larry Ellison’s reach.
Adobe Impresses The Market With Strong Free Cash Flow - Is ADBE Stock Worth Buying?
ADBE stock could be worth over 21% over the next year or so at $425 per share.
Dow Pivots From Peak, Joins S&P 500, Nasdaq In The Red
Stocks are slumping into the weekend.
Why 2026 Will Be Good For Some But Not All In The U.S. Next Year
Consumers and technology spending, not least on AI, are the two main reasons why we think the U.S. economy will continue to do well next year.

