By Scott Martindale
President, Sabrient Systems LLC

The year has begun with a continuation of the bullish optimism in equities. The new mood rewarding economically-sensitive market segments began with the big post-election rally – which was partly due to simply removing the election uncertainty and partly due to the “Trump Bump” and an expectation of a more business-friendly environment. Investors are playing a bit of wait-and-see regarding President Trump’s initial executive orders. Last week ended with a strong employment report and an executive order seeking to take the shackles off the banking industry (including dismantling of the Dodd-Frank Act and delay/review of the DOL Fiduciary Rule), which sent the Financial sector surging and led the Dow to close back above 20,000 and the NASDAQ Composite to new record highs, while the S&P500 struggles to breakout above the 2,300 level.

No doubt, the new Administration is shaking things up, as promised…and the left is pushing back hard, as promised. Nevertheless, I believe economic fundamentals are positive with a favorable environment for equities globally – especially fundamentals-based portfolios like Sabrient’s. I also like the prospects for small caps, European, and Japan.

In this periodic update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review Sabrient’s weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then offer up some actionable ETF trading ideas. Overall, our sector rankings still look bullish, and the sector rotation model continues to suggest a bullish stance. Read on.... Read more about Sector Detector: Stocks eye new highs as Trump gets busy fulfilling campaign promises

Scott MartindaleStocks continued last week to seek some firmer footing, as prices found some support and volatility hit some resistance, and a flight to safety of global capital benefited long-term Treasury bonds -- the very assets that are supposed to be selling off in a secular “Great Rotation” into equities. Read more about Sector Detector: Flight to safety may serve as prelude to flight to quality stocks

smartindale / Tag: iShares, ETF, sectors, SPY, VIX, IYF, iyw, IYJ, IYH, IYK, IYC, IYZ, IYE, IYM, IDU, EEM, GOOG, FB, CAT, CVX, XOM, COP, SOXX, PPH, KRE, CACC, SIVB, FLT, CTSH, ACT, MWIV / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleYou know by now that the Fed last week opted not to begin tapering its quantitative easing (i.e., buying of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities), primarily for two reasons, I believe. First, rapidly rising long-term interest rates were already starting to hurt the recovering housing market (and the resulting wealth effect). Read more about Sector Detector: Congressional dysfunction puts bulls on hold, for the moment

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, SPY, VIX, KRE, iyw, IYE, IYF, IYK, IYJ, IDU, IYC, IYM, IYZ, IYH, JAZZ, GNW, EPL, OCN, SNDK, CACI, CLB, CLR / 0 Comments

There is one quality which one must possess to win, and that is definiteness of purpose, the knowledge of what one wants, and a burning desire to possess it. -- Napoleon Hill

Wall Street seems to be feeling frisky lately, with major indices testing, poking and prodding record highs. And, in spite of the fact that the CBOE Volatility Index has been jolted back to life, the domestic economy seems to be exhibiting tendencies of slow, steady but solid growth.

But will Washington politics manage to upset Wall Street’s upbeat apple cart? Read more about ETF Periscope: Will Lagging Global Market Puncture Wall Street’s Quest for New Highs?

daniel / Tag: DJIA, SPX, COMP, PSP, KBE, KRE, IYG, XLF, ISM / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleFor most of 2013 thus far, the market has been on a steady rise without volatility within a narrow channel. Bulls have been looking to recruit reinforcements for their assault on the all-time highs on the S&P 500 large caps and Dow Jones blue chips, after already taking out the all-time highs on the Russell 2000 small caps and S&P 400 mid caps. Read more about Sector Detector: Market provides a welcome entry point

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, iShares, SPY, VIX, iyw, IYF, IYH, IYK, IYJ, IYE, IYC, IYM, IDU, IYZ, SWI, BRKB, PCLN, BAC, KRE / 0 Comments

Do the difficult things while they are easy and do the great things while they are small. A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step.”  -- Lao Tzu

Wall Street has been traveling in a tight line this past week, a classic tightrope walk between greed and fear. Investors seem unwilling to take profits off the table resulting from the year’s uptrend, not wishing to miss any of current Bull Run, but also appear reluctant to allocate more cash towards equities, at least for the moment. Read more about ETF Periscope: Is the Eurozone Waving a Red Flag at the Bull Rally?

daniel / Tag: DJIA, SPX, PSP, KBE, KRE, IYG, XLF, Finance Sector, Eurozone, Europe, Sequester, CBO / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleUntil today, the stock market had lost its year-end traction, and it is exclusively due to the unresolved Federal budget and the looming Fiscal Cliff and debt ceiling. Optimism among investors that something will certainly get done had fallen victim to political theater and the reality that our elected officials view compromise as a sure path to losing their next election. Read more about KRE - an ETF to play a 1Q rally

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, IYF, XLF, KRE, CSE, BPOP, MTB, SBNY, FRC / 0 Comments

david trainerThe financial sector is one of four sectors to earn our “dangerous” rating and is the worst-ranked sector in the our 3Q11 Sector Roadmap report according to my methodology at New Constructs. Read more about Don’t Gamble In Financial Sector ETFs

dtrainer / Tag: AFL, C, FAS, FXO, IAK, IAT, IYF, IYG, KBE, KBWP, KCE, KIE, KRE, KRU, MS, PFI, PIC, PJB, RWW, RYF, TRV, UYG, VFH, XLF / 0 Comments

DOW 12,000: Floating a Trial Balloon or Bursting a Bubble?

by Daniel Sckolnik of ETF Periscope

“I didn't end up going bankrupt . . . I made some great investments and I held on to my money, which also enables me to have the freedom to do what I want now. But it's not about finances. No matter what, it's about keeping it real.” -- Vanilla Ice Read more about ETF Periscope: DOW 12,000: Floating a Trial Balloon or Bursting a Bubble?

daniel / Tag: DJIA, Dow Jones Industrial Average, IDU, KOL, KRE, S&P 500 Index, SPX, XRT / 0 Comments