The most recent ISM manufacturing report has left much to be pessimistic about, not that the markets or the media seemed to notice.
First, the headline PMI dropped below 50 (marginally to 49.7) with a drop of 3.8, indicating contraction in the manufacturing sector for the first time since July 2009. It also missed the consensus by 2.3 and was outside the consensus range from Econoday.

Stocks have been on a one-way train all month long. Now, as we approach Groundhog Day, the market appears to be having its own version of it as the Dow faces 14,000 and the S&P 500 struggles at 1500. As investors peer out above these levels, will they collectively see their shadow and retreat to safety for the next six weeks? Or will they bravely march forward into the clear blue skies to challenge the all-time highs from 2007?
The market remains sensitive to weak forward outlooks and continues to punish those stocks that miss on revenues and beat on earnings. Today, ESRX, Z, and BSFT bore the brunt of that attitude, down -14%, -21%, and -11% respectively after-hours.
Testy Tuesday – Gentle Ben vs. Reality