Scott MartindaleOverall, earnings reports have continued to beat the low bar of expectations.

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, iShares, SPY, VIX, CVLT, HRS, CTSH, QCOM, AMP, PRAA, iyw, IYF, IYK, IYJ, IYE, IYC, IYM, IYZ, IDU, IYH / 0 Comments

We finally had another down week, albeit by the slimmest of margins. This next week promises to be the most important week of the month and, in all likelihood, next month as well. We get the ADP employment report, the FOMC meeting announcement, the first look at Q2 GDP, the Chicago PMI, the consumer confidence report, and more.  Undoubtedly, today’s weakness was based on investor apprehension about this week’s news and continued corporate reports.

Last week’s economic reports were mixed, and the style/caps were simply “mixed up.”  Our style/cap scorecard was turned on its head last week with year-long loser Large-Cap Growth up +0.26% to become the week’s leader and the last year leader (and still leader for the year) Small-Cap Value, bringing up the rear for the week at -0.15%.

david / Tag: AMP, IGTE, LII, RXT / 0 Comments

Wall Street presently seems to be in a sideways state of mind, with the major indices traveling predominantly horizontal these last couple of weeks. Not a surprise, really, as the news cycle has been relatively tame and the current earnings season largely followed the predicted script.

So for investors, the question is whether the market is consolidating for a push into yet another round of record highs or simply running out of steam and veering towards an inevitable correction. And, with a busy week on tap, the year’s bullish uptrend gets yet another opportunity to be tested, and the consolidation-vs-reversal question gets yet another look.

daniel / Tag: DJIA, COMP, SPX, FDN, SOXX, FXL, SMH, QTEC, IGV, VGK, Eurozone, Mario Draghi, FED, GDP, ECB / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleWe are in the thick of earnings season, and so far the general trend has been as anticipated: modest if any top-line growth and more earnings beats than misses (albeit versus a low bar). But forward guidance has been the big decider on how the stock trades post-earnings, and the message has been decidedly mixed, as many companies have had to reduce guidance or otherwise failed to make the grade in other important growth metrics.

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, VIX, IWM, EEM, AAPL, WDC, FB, V, MCD, NFLX, CVLT, SBNY, GS, iyw, IYF, IYE, IYK, IYJ, IYH, IYC, IYZ, IDU, IYM / 0 Comments

Eleven of the past twelve market days have seen the market move higher . . . generally to new all-time highs. The S&P 500 closed today at 1695.53, yet another new high.

Could the upward run continue?  Yes, it could and likely will for at least three reasons.  1) Funds continue to flow from money market and longer-term fixed income funds into the equity market; 2) valuations have not exceeded reasonable variations from the norm—a tad high here and there but with bargains remaining; 3) the gains have not been powerful, large up days on large volume indicating a blow-off top.

Where is the market looking for opportunities? 

david / Tag: IO, FIG, TPLM, UTHR / 0 Comments

Wall Street continues to make summer investors smile as new highs in the major indices were touched on throughout the week. The benchmark S&P 500 Index (SPX) recorded a gain of 0.7% on the week, which puts it in the black for the year to the tune of 18.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) posted a small but solid 0.5%, while the Nasdaq (COMP) ended in positive territory by a slight 0.3%.

The past week’s gains may be slightly due to inertia, because it’s not exactly like there has been a plethora of positive economic news to support the record highs. It’s more like a dearth of bad news that has been the prime reason the equity market continues on the same merry uptrend that it’s been riding throughout most of 2013.

daniel / Tag: DJIA, COMP, SPX, JPM, FXI, EWH, MCHI, GXC, HAO, PGJ, China, Shanghai Composite Index, G20 / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleSmall caps, mid-caps, Financials, Telecom, and Consumer Discretionary were among the market segments that hit new highs this week, even as bearish sentiment and short interest have risen, and there is still plenty of idle cash on the sidelines looking for a home.

smartindale / Tag: sectors, ETF, iShares, SPY, VIX, IWM, EES, CACI, HRS, PB, C, SNTS, GNW, PCBK, IYH, IYF, iyw, IYK, IYC, IYE, IYM, IDU, IYZ, IYJ, BAC, IBM, SNDK / 0 Comments

The market opened on positive note this morning after generally positive performances by Asian markets (Japan was closed for a holiday) and a good start in Europe. This carried forward the positive momentum of the five-day up market last week and a seven-day overall winning streak, with both the DJIA and the S&P 500 reaching new all-time highs.

david / Tag: MCD, GLP, ESV, AGCO / 0 Comments

So far, July is looking pretty sweet for those investors who have decided to swap the pleasures of the beach for an extended Wall Street voyage through the summer.

For the moment at least, the market seems to be righting its ship after a fair amount of buffeting following Ben Bernanke’s comments regarding the Fed’s intention of tapering off its ambitious bond purchase program.

Apparently, investors have been comforted last week by his new and improved comments, the ones offering reassurance that the tapering isn’t quite as imminent as he first indicated, and that he is really, really advocating for continuing the money stimulus along its current trajectory.

daniel / Tag: DJIA, COMP, SPX, JPM, FXI, EWH, MCHI, GXC, HAO, PGJ, FED, China, BERNANKE, Shanghai Composite Index / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleEarnings season is now officially underway, but the Fed is still holding the limelight, as traders anxiously awaited on Wednesday the FOMC minutes from the June 18/19 meeting. Although several members are pushing to begin tapering off this fall on asset purchases (bonds and mortgage-backed securities), which spooked the markets, in fact it now appears that the controlling opinion is that the U.S.

smartindale / Tag: iShares, sectors, ETF, SPY, VIX, REM, TLT, iyw, IYF, IYH, IYK, IYC, IYJ, IYE, IYM, IYZ, IDU, CVLT, WDC, PRU, RE, GNW, STX, EPL, JAZZ, YELP, OSTK / 0 Comments

The beginning of Q2 earnings season got off to an inauspicious start with Alcoa (AA) barely beating highly reduced estimates by a single penny per share. Alcoa’s CEO provided cautionary but optimistic guidance on CNBC after the market closed. AA’s shares initially climbed a bit in the aftermarket but have since given most of that back.

david / Tag: dx bgfv mcep mhld / 0 Comments

OK, it’s earnings season again, though the first round of reports this week won’t reveal a whole lot, at least not until Friday, when J.P. Morgan (JPM) announces its Q2 results. Then, things could get interesting, as investors will decide if bottom-line fundamentals are enough to supersede the recent Fed hullaballoo that centered on the question of when, not if, the central bank would begin to taper its massive bond purchasing.

daniel / Tag: DJIA, COMP, SPX, JPM, FXI, EWH, MCHI, GXC, HAO, PGJ, FED, China, earnings season / 0 Comments

Scott MartindaleI suspect there is no greater example of “summer doldrums” than the week surrounding the Fourth of July, especially when the holiday falls mid-week. From my standpoint, I certainly have received my share of “out of office” auto-responses on emails. For bullish investors, this is usually a time for caution, as any apparently dominant psychology of the market can be misleading. For bearish traders, it’s hard to get much momentum going.

smartindale / Tag: sectors, iShares, ETF, iyw, IYH, IYF, IYE, IYK, IYC, IYJ, IYZ, IYM, IDU, WDC, CREE, REGN, CELG, ASH, GNW, SPY, VIX / 0 Comments

Returning to last week’s thesis, which was that if the plethora of economic reports last week’s were good to okay, S&P support levels would hold and the market rise on the flow of funds from recent long bond sellers.  I do think this indeed happened.

Why?  Here are several supporting reasons:

david / Tag: PPC ACTG WD ESL / 0 Comments


Volatility has, indeed, calmed down a bit last week, compared to the previous one, as some soothing words from some of the Fed’s top monetary policy officials seemed to balance off Ben Bernanke’s earlier comments regarding the imminence of QE3 tapering.  It did seem to be an orchestrated attempt by Fed officials to stabilize the markets following the strong negative reaction that occurred in response to Bernanke’s comments that the bond-buying program would be reduced much sooner than investors had anticipated. If this was the intended reaction it worked . . .

daniel / Tag: DJIA, COMP, SPX, FXI, PEK, MCHI, GXC, volatility, FED, BERNANKE, China, Shanghai Composite Index / 0 Comments